📅 2024-09-10 — Session: Weibull Duration Model Analysis and Implementation

🕒 01:50–03:00
🏷️ Labels: Weibull Model, MLE, Python, Statistical Analysis, Education
📂 Project: Teaching
⭐ Priority: MEDIUM

Session Goal

The session aimed to explore and implement a Weibull duration model for analyzing job tenure, focusing on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and interpretation of results.

Key Activities

  • Developed a comprehensive problem for estimating a Weibull duration model using a minimal dataset, emphasizing MLE and coefficient interpretation.
  • Implemented the model in Python, detailing tasks for coefficient estimation and results interpretation.
  • Designed a challenging question for PhD-level economics students, focusing on MLE in Weibull models with unobserved heterogeneity.
  • Analyzed vulnerabilities in statistical exercises and provided solutions to enhance complexity and critical thinking.
  • Addressed issues in Weibull model fitting, including coefficient magnitude and correlation, and provided updated simulation code.
  • Discussed parameter coherence in modeling and debugging log-likelihood estimation issues.
  • Outlined PhD-level problems and educational puzzles to enhance critical thinking and problem-solving skills.

Achievements

  • Successfully implemented the Weibull duration model in Python, providing a framework for job tenure analysis.
  • Developed educational content and complex problems for PhD students, enhancing understanding of statistical modeling.
  • Identified and addressed issues in model fitting and parameter coherence, improving the robustness of the analysis.

Pending Tasks

  • Further review and interpretation of Weibull model results, focusing on covariates such as education, sector, and gender.
  • Continue developing educational problems that introduce uncertainty and require critical thinking.
  • Explore additional debugging techniques for log-likelihood estimation.